Fed Holds Rates at 3.5%-3.75% as Mid-East Conflict Lifts Oil

Rendy Andriyanto
Rendy Andriyanto
Gotrade Team
Reviewed by Gotrade Internal Analyst
Fed Holds Rates at 3.5%-3.75% as Mid-East Conflict Lifts Oil

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Gotrade News - The Federal Reserve held its benchmark policy rate steady at 3.5% to 3.75% on Wednesday (30/04). The decision came through a tight 8-4 vote inside the Federal Open Market Committee.

Heightened Middle East tensions and rising global energy prices anchored the central bank's decision to wait. Four committee members filed dissenting opinions, marking the largest split inside the FOMC since October 1992.


Key Takeaways

  • The Fed kept rates at 3.5%-3.75% as fresh global energy price spikes lifted near-term inflation pressure across the economy.
  • Four dissenting votes produced the deepest FOMC split since October 1992, mixing both hawkish and dovish positions.
  • WTI crude jumped 7.17% to 107.16 dollars per barrel, extending the inflation risk window for several quarters ahead.

According to Bloomberg Technoz, three regional governors openly opposed the move. Beth Hammack, Neel Kashkari, and Lorie Logan joined Vice Chair Stephen Miran in voting against the decision.

Stephen Miran actually pushed for a 25 basis point cut as a softer policy response. His dovish stance contrasted with the three colleagues who instead opposed any easing bias inside the official statement.

The Fed flagged that Middle East developments raised macroeconomic uncertainty by a meaningful margin. The official statement also noted that employment gains stayed low on average across the past several months.

Inflation remained elevated and partly reflected recent global energy price increases, the committee acknowledged. That factor narrows the runway for any rate cut while the dual mandate stays in tension.

As reported by Liputan6, oil prices surged on reports of an Iran blockade order. WTI rose 7.17% to 107.16 dollars per barrel while Brent climbed 6.78% to 118.80 dollars per barrel.

Wall Street finished mixed with the Dow Jones falling 280.12 points or 0.57% to 48,861.81. The S&P 500 slipped 0.04% to 7,135.95 while the Nasdaq edged up 0.04% to 24,673.24.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell stressed that high oil prices will lift overall inflation in the near term. Powell added that fuel costs will keep climbing while the Strait of Hormuz remains closed to traffic.

Four Magnificent Seven companies were scheduled to release earnings after the closing bell on the same day. Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft drew sharp investor focus during the after-hours session.

Semiconductor names delivered standout performance against a mixed macro backdrop. Seagate Technology rallied more than 11% while NXP Semiconductors surged over 25% after both names beat market profit expectations.

This press conference was Powell's last before Kevin Warsh assumes the Fed chairmanship on 15 May 2026. Powell plans to continue as a governor while keeping a lower public profile through the rest of his term.

Sources

Bloomberg Technoz, Key Points in the Fed's Decision to Hold Rates, 2026. Liputan6, Wall Street Mixed After the Fed Holds Rates, 2026. Metro TV News, Fed Still Holds Rates Amid Energy Price Pressure, 2026.

Disclaimer

Gotrade is the trading name of Gotrade Securities Inc., which is registered with and supervised by the Labuan Financial Services Authority (LFSA). This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research (DYOR) before investing.


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