Gotrade Daily: US-Iran Ceasefire Hopes Lift Markets, Oil Pulls Back

Muhammad Naufal Hammam
Muhammad Naufal Hammam
Gotrade Analyst
Reviewed by Gotrade Internal Analyst
Gotrade Daily: US-Iran Ceasefire Hopes Lift Markets, Oil Pulls Back

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Nvidia, AMD, and Intel lead tech gains as sentiment improves.


U.S. stocks moved higher on Wednesday as oil prices pulled back and investors reacted to developments around potential ceasefire discussions between the U.S. and Iran. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 305 points, while the S&P 500 gained 0.54% and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.77%.

The gains came as traders looked for signs that geopolitical tensions could ease after reports that the U.S. had sent a proposal to Iran outlining terms to end the conflict. While both sides appear to remain far apart, the possibility of negotiations helped improve market sentiment.

Oil prices declined following the developments. West Texas Intermediate crude fell 2.2% to $90.32 per barrel, while Brent crude dropped 2.17% to $102.22, easing from recent highs above $100.

The pullback in oil also contributed to lower Treasury yields, helping support equities. Markets have been highly sensitive to energy prices, as prolonged increases could impact inflation expectations and economic growth.

Technology stocks led the rebound. Nvidia (NVDA), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), and Intel (INTC) all posted gains, providing support to the broader market.

Despite the rebound, uncertainty remains as conflicting reports suggest that Iran may reject the ceasefire proposal while also outlining its own terms, including control over the Strait of Hormuz.


📊 Market Wrap


🧠 Analyst Notes


💬 Market Highlights

Microsoft Faces Pressure to Strengthen Copilot Narrative

UBS said the narrative around Microsoft (MSFT) 365 and Copilot offerings needs to improve for the stock to re-rate higher, despite maintaining a Buy rating. The firm lowered its price target as investor focus has shifted toward the durability and scale of growth from Copilot and enterprise AI adoption.

Competition from OpenAI and Anthropic is increasingly targeting Microsoft’s core “knowledge work” segment, adding pressure to its positioning. Microsoft pointed to improving usage trends and seat growth, along with new product initiatives such as Copilot Cowork and updated enterprise bundles. UBS also noted strong demand for Azure, but said clearer monetization signals from AI products will be key for sentiment to improve.


Google’s AI Efficiency Push Pressures Memory Stocks

Shares of memory and storage companies including Micron (MU), Western Digital (WDC), and Seagate (STX) declined after Google (GOOG) introduced new algorithms designed to reduce memory requirements for AI models.

The updates, including TurboQuant and other compression techniques, aim to improve efficiency in running large language models and vector search systems. These developments could reduce the amount of hardware needed for AI workloads, raising concerns about long-term demand for memory and storage.

The sell-off reflects how quickly sentiment can shift when technological improvements threaten existing supply chains. At the same time, the move highlights how competition in AI is increasingly happening at both the software and infrastructure levels.


Tesla’s Terafab Signals Push Toward AI Chip Independence

Tesla (TSLA) and SpaceX’s proposed “Terafab” semiconductor facility could mark an early step toward a deeper integration between the two companies, according to Wedbush.

The project is expected to cost up to $25 billion and aims to significantly expand chip production for AI, robotics, and autonomous systems. Initial production targets could scale aggressively over time, potentially reaching levels comparable to a large portion of global foundry output. The initiative reflects growing demand for compute capacity as Tesla expands its AI ambitions across self-driving, robotics, and manufacturing.

Wedbush also suggested the project could eventually lead to a merger between Tesla and SpaceX, signaling a broader strategic shift toward vertical integration in AI infrastructure.


📅 Earnings Watch


Developments in US–Iran negotiations, movements in oil prices, and performance of major technology stocks are likely to remain key factors shaping market sentiment in the coming sessions.

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Disclaimer

Gotrade is the trading name of Gotrade Securities Inc., which is registered with and supervised by the Labuan Financial Services Authority (LFSA). This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research (DYOR) before investing.


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