Oil Surges Past $90 as US-Iran Crisis Escalates

Rendy Andriyanto
Rendy Andriyanto
Gotrade Team
Reviewed by Gotrade Internal Analyst
Oil Surges Past $90 as US-Iran Crisis Escalates

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Gotrade News - WTI crude oil surged 7.5% to $90.18 per barrel on Saturday (April 19), reaching its highest level since early 2026 after US Marines seized an Iranian-flagged cargo vessel in the Gulf of Oman. The rally intensified on reports that the Strait of Hormuz has been closed again and Tehran has rejected scheduled negotiations in Islamabad, leaving no diplomatic path before the ceasefire expires Tuesday.


Key Takeaways

  • WTI crude jumped 7.5% to $90.18/barrel and Brent rose 6.2% to $96 after US Marines seized Iranian cargo ship TOUSKA in the Gulf of Oman
  • Wall Street futures fell sharply with Dow down 455 points as the Strait of Hormuz was reportedly closed again by Iran
  • The US-Iran ceasefire expires Tuesday with no new negotiation timeline agreed between both sides

Ship Seizure and Military Escalation

President Trump confirmed that US Marines took custody of the Iranian-flagged cargo vessel TOUSKA in Gulf of Oman waters over the weekend. According to Benzinga, Trump stated the ship was under US Treasury sanctions due to its "prior history of illegal activity" involving sanctions evasion.

Trump directly characterized Iran's recent actions as a "total violation" of ceasefire terms agreed between the two nations. This language signals that Washington considers the ceasefire agreement effectively void even though its formal expiration date is not until Tuesday.

The escalation deepened further when Trump warned of potential direct military strikes against critical Iranian infrastructure. The US President stated his country could "blow up all power plants and bridges" if a diplomatic agreement is not reached in the near term, marking some of the most aggressive rhetoric since the ceasefire began.

Iran responded through its state news agency IRNA by formally declining to participate in the second round of negotiations scheduled in Islamabad, Pakistan. This rejection effectively closes the last available diplomatic channel before the ceasefire deadline, significantly raising the probability of open military confrontation between the two nations.

The seizure of the TOUSKA is not an isolated incident but rather part of a pattern of gradual escalation that has unfolded since the ceasefire was agreed upon several weeks ago. Geopolitical analysts view the move as a calculated step by Washington to test the limits of Tehran's response before the diplomatic deadline expires.

Energy Markets and Wall Street Impact

Brent crude surged 6.22% to $96 per barrel while RBOB gasoline jumped 4.13% to $3.13 per gallon across international commodity markets. According to Investing.com, the Strait of Hormuz was reportedly closed again by Iranian authorities, compounding fears of a major disruption to global oil supply chains.

The Strait of Hormuz is the world's busiest shipping lane for energy transportation, handling approximately 21 million barrels of oil per day. Even a temporary closure has the potential to create supply shortages severe enough to push crude prices beyond the $100 per barrel threshold.

Dow Jones futures plunged 455 points, or 0.92%, to the 49,186 level during weekend pre-market trading sessions. S&P 500 futures declined 0.72% to 7,110 and Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.68%, erasing a significant portion of gains accumulated during the prior week's rally.

The sharp decline stands in stark contrast to Wall Street's strong performance over the preceding week. The S&P 500 had gained approximately 4.5% while the Nasdaq Composite surged 6.8%, driven by optimism around trade negotiations and solid first-quarter corporate earnings reports.

Energy stocks are positioned to be the primary beneficiaries when markets open Monday, with Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX) leading the sector. Both US oil majors have historically demonstrated high correlation with WTI price movements and tend to see significant share price gains during Middle Eastern supply disruption events.

ConocoPhillips (COP), the largest independent US oil producer, is also attracting investor attention for those seeking upstream energy exposure. The SPDR Energy Select ETF (XLE) and United States Oil Fund (USO) offer alternative routes for investors who prefer sector-level diversification rather than individual stock selection.

The rapid surge in oil prices also raises fresh concerns about the US inflation outlook, which had only recently shown signs of cooling. The Federal Reserve, previously expected to begin cutting interest rates in the second half of 2026, now faces renewed pressure if energy costs remain elevated over the coming weeks.

Global markets are now tracking two critical variables ahead of the Tuesday ceasefire deadline. Without a fresh diplomatic breakthrough or clear de-escalation signals from either side, the risk of prolonged energy supply disruption and deeper equity market corrections will continue weighing on investor sentiment throughout the coming week.

Sources

Disclaimer

Gotrade is the trading name of Gotrade Securities Inc., which is registered with and supervised by the Labuan Financial Services Authority (LFSA). This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research (DYOR) before investing.


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